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AFC West
1. Denver Broncos
DEN Jake Plummer is being questioned once again about his ability to win in big games following last years Pittsburgh loss in the playoffs. Denver dominated many of the games they played in last year only to come up short once again. This year they have made some additional adjustments that they hope will get them over the hump and provide no excuses in gettingto the promised land.
In free agency, the Broncos lost RB, Mike Anderson (Bal) and DT, Trevor Pryce (Bal). They were able to keep everyone else and in addition the acquired LB’s, Nate Webster (Cin) and T.J. Hollowell (Chi) as well as DE, Kenard Lang (Cle) and CB, Willie Middlebrook (SF) to sure up the defense.
In the draft, the Broncos hit paydirt with the trade acquisition of WR, Javon Walker from Green Bay and then started selecting their picks for Day 1 selecting QB, Jay Cutler in the first round as the heir apparent to Jake Plummer, but who knows when that will take place. In the 2nd round they took TE, Tony Scheffler to provide some impact at that position, a position that has not been filled properly since the departure of Shannon Sharpe. On day two of the draft the Broncos were stockpiling offensive personnel taking 2 WR’s and a DE with their three 4th round picks and then rounding out the draft by taking a G and a C with their 5th and 6th round selections.
The Broncos added better LB’s in free agency and replaced their loss at DE, but will they have the horsepower to keep up with the rushing attack of Kansas City? If they can they will retain the division crown, but there is not a lot of wiggle room at the top of this division for them to get away with a lot of mistakes.
Read more here.
NFL: 2006 rookie futures
Reggie Bush, the former USC one-man wrecking crew and reigning Heisman winner, is the runaway favorite at +200 to win the 2006 Sporting News Rookie of the Year Award. Is it because he’s the only rookie the betting public can name outside of Rose Bowl quarterbacks Matt Leinart and Vince Young? Could be.Bush was drafted second overall last April by the New Orleans Saints. It wasn’t exactly a surprise at the time that he fell to second " news of the Houston Texans’ decision to select defensive end Mario Williams (+1000) out of North Carolina State made headlines the Friday before the draft.
But that didn’t stop the naysayers from piling on the Texans for passing up the electrifying running back/wide receiver/kick returner. Houston’s rationale was that the club already had a backfield stud by the name of Domanick Davis, and there were some questions about character after Bush’s interviews.
It’s just as well for Bush that he fell to the Saints. It’ll cost him a little money for not being picked first, but Bush will be a lot closer to cracking the lineup " eventually. The holdup comes in the form of RB Deuce McAllister. The two-time Pro Bowler missed most of last year with a torn ACL; McAllister is back in 2006 to join incoming QB Drew Brees to form what could be a deadly 1-2 punch for the Saints. However promising Bush may be, it’ll take him some time to unseat the incumbent McAllister as New Orleans’ starting tailback (but not as long as ousting Davis, who is two years younger). That’s time a R.O.Y. futures bettor cannot afford.
Williams will likely start at right defensive end for the Texans and make an immediate impact, but he’s not playing the kind of marquee position that usually generates R.O.Y.awards. The last defensive lineman to score TSN honors was Tampa Bay ’s Santana Dotson in 1992. Since then, the award has gone to seven RBs, two WRs, one lone QB (Pittsburgh’s Ben Roethlisberger in 2004), and three linebackers, including reigning ROY Shawne Merriman from San Diego. Tampa Bay RB Cadillac Williams likely would have bagged this trophy had he remained healthy all season.
With the emphasis on offensive players in mind, next on the futures list behind Bush are Pittsburgh WR Santonio Holmes and Carolina RB DeAngelo Williams at +550. Williams is the easy choice here between the two. Holmes will take a back seat to WR Hines Ward, while Williams will start the season behind DeShaun Foster on the depth chart. Foster is injury-prone; Williams should get plenty of carries in a supporting role, and is bound to take the starting job sooner rather than later. Playing for a Super Bowl contender like the Panthers should also help Williams in the publicity department.
Rookie sensations at quarterback are few and far between. Roethlisberger only got his chance in 2004 because Tommy Maddox was injured; it’ll take a similar fluke for Leinart (+1200), Young (+1500) or Jay Cutler (+2500) to cash in.
The best of the “value” picks may be Indianapolis RB Joseph Addai at +900. With Edgerrin James moving on to Arizona, Addai is expected to see duty right away as a backfield complement to RB Dominic Rhodes. Addai will catch passes while Rhodes does the dirty work as a power runner. Eventually, Addai will have the job to himself " a feature piece in what should be the most potent offense in the NFL. Sounds like ROY material.
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