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Are you ready? It's Fantasy Football time and El Padrino/Teabagz annual Top 50 list is here to help you put together a championship team. Out of three seasons since I have started I have won 1 trophy, a third place finish and last year a I was 4th. This year should be no different. It's on like Donkey Kong. Lets' get started.
1. Larry Johnson, RB- Kansas City Cheifs Best described as "STUD", Sir Larry was an animal last season by racking up over 1700 yards and 20 TD's. And now since Herman Edwards is the HC I expect a slight increase in those carries (336) . This makes him pick #1.
Projection: 372 attempts, 2100 yards, 25 TD's 48 receptions, 403 yards, 2 TD's
2. Shaun Alexander,RB- Seattle Seahawks He's not going to duplicate the season he had last year (1880 yds, 27 TD's) but he still will be the second best back in the league. Two reasons why a repeat of 2005 is impossible. One, Steve Hutchinson is gone and two he's on the cover of Madden 2007. Yes I'm supersticious.
Projection: 341 attempts, 1655 yards, 21 TD's 20 receptions, 145 yards, 1 TD
3. Ladanian Tomlinson, RB- San Diego Chargers I flirted with putting Tiki here because of the QB situation in SD but that may increase Tomlinson's reception numbers. Every rookie or first year starting QB needs a security blanket and we all know that while Gates could be that guy it will most likely be Tomlinson. No backer or secondary man can cover him and it's difficult to double a receiving RB. Alot easier to double the TE position is my point. Stack against the box at will against SD but beware of the HB seam up the middle of the field for 88 and TD.
Projection: 323 attempts, 1509 yards, 17 TD's 69 receptions, 511 yards, 4 TD's
4. Tiki Barber, RB- New York Giants Continues to be a top 5 back in the league, touches the rock about 1000 times and no longer fumbles. This might be the last year he is in the top 5 as age is slowly creeping up the ladder. But I suspect at least one more phenominal year. Hear are the numbers.
Projection: 312 attempts, 1669 yards, 11 TD's 59 receptions, 531 yards, 3 TD's
5. Rudi Johnson, RB- Cincinnati Bengals With Palmer likely out the first two weeks or so this guy will be carrying the load. And he can handle it. Over 1400 yards two years straight, and 24 TD's in two full season's. I have an inling that he will increase in each category this year.
Projection: 343 attempts, 1501 yards, 14 TD's 20 receptions, 101 yards, 0 TD's
6. Peyton Manning, QB- Indianapolis Colts Contrary to how I like to draft (RB's first) if I had the 6th pick and those 4 guys up there were gone. I'd pick Manning. While I don't think he'll duplicate the most retarded year ever (2004, 49TD's) I do think he'll toss more than 30. Espeacially with Edge in the desert. Wayne and Harrison. All day long.
Projection: 357 completions/512 attempts, 4234 yards, 36 TD's/9 picks
7. Ronnie Brown, RB- Miami Dolphins Ricky is gone. Give this man the rock. He will be a very nice surprise for owners who draft him. He rushed for 907 yards on just 207 carries. A full year and next year we could be talking bout taking him in the top three. Numbers please.
Projections: 329 attempts, 1491 yards, 14 TD's 51 receptions, 319 yards, 2 TD's
8. Edgerrin James, RB- Arizona Cardinals Last year in Indy he was an animal. With him gone I expect Peyton's numbers to be better. With him here I expect his numbers to maybe be a bit less. Peyton audibled alot for better running situations and more opportunities. Not so sure he'll match last years attempts (360). This is why he's 8th and not 5th or 7th.
Projection: 302 attempts, 1269 yards, 15 TD's 48 receptions, 333 yards, 1 TD
9. Clinton Portis, RB- Washington Redskins Shoulder situation dropped him this low. Otherwise he's be before Rudi and Ronnie. Workhorse back who bounced back from disapointing TD total in 2004. Last year had 11 TD's.
Projection: 356 attempts, 1406 yards, 13 TD's 21 receptions, 219 yards, 1 TD
10. Steven Jackson, RB- St. Louis Rams He is striaght up licking his chops this season. He wants over 300 carries and he's going to get it. Barring injury he can be a top 5 back just like Ronnie Brown. Here come the young guys.
Projection: 313 attempts, 1434 yards, 12 TD's 41 receptions, 337 yards, 2 TD's
11. Lamont Jordan, RB- Oakland Raiders Only 272 carries last year. He needs the ball more. Luckily Art Shell will have no choice but to hand the ball off to Jordan. He has no QB. And he has a pretty good offensive line.
Projection: 314 attempts, 1205 yards, 10 TD's 61 receptions, 498 yards, 3 TD's
12. Cadillac Williams, RB- Tampa Bay Buccaneers Jumped on the scence last year but was slowed by nagging injuries. Let's see if he can handle the load this year.
Projection: 311 attempts, 1266 yards, 10 TD's 55 receptions, 441 yards, 2 TD's
13. Tom Brady, QB- New England Patriots I think his numbers will be similar to last year's. And if that's the case you got a guy who at the end will have racked up over 300 fantasy points. That's good. One less thing to worry about. At this point the RB's behind him won't be going anywhere. He's the definite second QB that should be taken.
Projection: 310 completions/501 attempts, 4269 yards, 29 TD's/13 INT's
14. Chad Johnson, WR- Cinicinnati Bengals First receiver that should go. Fuck TO and his maxi pads and no disrepect to Larry Fitz but dude Johnson is MAN. Here come the numbers.
Projection: 109 receptions, 1502 yards, 12 TD's
15. Larry Fitzgerald, WR- Arizona Cardinals If Chad Johnson were dead he'd be number one receiver. But he's not so he's number two. Similar numbers but with Edge there more plays will be called for the RB position.
Projection: 99 receptions, 1397 yards, 8 TD's
16. Steve Smith, WR- Carolina Panthers This guy was a animal last year. It won't be duplicated but it will still be a wonderful experience if you own him.
Projection: 90 receptions, 1422 yards, 10 TD's
17. Torry Holt, WR- St. Louis Rams On some board he's rated the #1 WR. Maybe if Martz was still HC. With wizard gone they will definetely run the ball more and Holt is getting older and older.
Projection: 88 receptions, 1330 yards, 11 TD's
18. Willis McGahee, RB- Buffalo Bills He may see 350 carries (beware of injury). That's bonuses for leagues who reward over certain amount. Since he is thier entire offense it'll be tough to put up great numbers but he still should have some good games. Would be a great 2nd RB on any roster.
Projection: 341 attempts, 1337 yards, 7 TD's 29 receptions, 256 yards, 1 TD
19. Domanick Davis, RB- Houston Texans #1 on the depth chart. He should go over 1000 yards this year. That O-Line is still not very good but he's the best player available right now.
Projection: 252 attempts, 1116 yards, 9 TD's 36 receptions, 219 yards, 1 TD
20. Matt Hasselback, QB- Seattle Seahawks Third QB worth more than any other position player. Always has a solid completion rate, picks are down and he has a great line. Not to mention a guy he can hand the ball off two 20-25 times to take the pressure off him.
Projection: 321 completions/519 attempts, 3892 yards, 24 TD's/11 picks
21. Marvin Harrison, WR- Indianapolis Colts Peyton's partner in crime. The TD catching machine. Always 80+ receptions, always double digits in TD's. Never hurt.
Projections: 89 receptions, 1191 yards, 13 TD's
22. Julius Jones, RB- Dallas Cowboys Don't like the fact that Barber III is breathing down his neck but as I mentioned yesterday he seems to be a fumbler and Parcells won't play a fumbler. So Jones it is. Just hope his small body takes the lickings.
Projection: 241 attempts, 1101 yards, 7 TD's 31 receptions, 222 yards, 1 TD's
23. Terrell Owens, WR- Dallas Cowboys Whatever.
Projections: 77 receptions, 1231 yards, 9 TD's
24. Donald Driver, WR- Green Bay Packers AKA the only guy Farve trusts. He should see the majority of Brett's throws. This might be the most "under the radar pick people forgot about Driver because GB sucked last year". Know what Im sayin'?
Projection: 86 receptions, 1298 yards, 10 TD's
25. Warrick Dunn, RB- Atlanta Falcons Emergence of Jerrius Norwood could take away some of Dunn's carries but he no doubt still gets the job done more times than many. Real nice 2nd or 3rd option behind your #1.
Projection: 234 attempts, 1102 yards, 8 TD's 35 receptions, 263 yards, 2 TD's
26. Randy Moss, WR- Oakland Raiders He could be lower because of Brooks, I'm just respecting his talent by putting him in the top 30.
Projection: 81 receptions, 1306 yards, 6 TD's
27. Reuben Droughns, RB- Cleavland Browns Surronded by Braylon Edwards and Kellen Winslow Charlie Frye has some weapons on offense to move the ball. RD could, could have a better year (TD wise) than he did last year.
Projection: 291 attempts, 1166 yards, 6 TD's 23 receptions, 211 yards, 1 TD
28. Willie Parker, RB- Pittsburgh Steelers I have my doubts but 1000 yards is no sneeze. If I think he'll get that then he deserves the hig spot. If not, I'm a fool.
Projection: 239 attempts, 1097 yards, 5 TD's 41 receptions, 398 yards, 2 TD's
29. Reggie Wayne, WR- Indianapolis Colts With Peyton's big year comes Reggie's. Nicest one two punch besides Arizona.
Projection: 88 receptions, 1245 yards, 8 TD's
30. Hines Ward, WR- Pittsburgh Steelers Big Ben's favorite target. He racks up alot of 10+ catch games. Solid.
Projection: 85 receptions, 1159 yards, 7 TD's
31. Anquan Boldin, WR- Arizona Cardinals Maybe you think he should be higher but with the addition of Edge that automatically takes the ball out of the receiver's hands by about10 times a game (combined). Plus it's still Kurt Warner.
Projection: 76 receptions, 1069 yards, 6 TD's
32. Jamal Lewis, RB- Baltimore Ravens Could be a bounceback year for the big guy. I predicted last years debacle but few people listened. One of the more interesting subplots going into this year.
Projections: 239 attemtps, 1053 yards, 6 TD's 29 receptions, 201 yards, 1 TD
33. Chris Chambers, WR- Miami Dolphins Progressed every year, finally has a QB who can throw deep and makes the sickest one handed grabs ever.
Projections: 81 receptions, 1109 yards, 9 TD's
34. Kevin Jones, RB- Detroit Lions I think he's going to have a good year. Martz not known for running but Faulk did have his best seasons under Martz offense. Plus Marinelli has some influence there and he likes to bang.
Projection: 219 attempts, 1009 yards, 7 TD's 36 receptions, 291 yards, 2 TD's
35. Roy Williams, WR- Detroit Lions Same philosophy. Martz effect. Williams one problem was his route running. If he catches on in Martz system he might put up freakish numbers.
Projection: 71 receptions, 1047 yards, 6 TD's
36. Chester Taylor, RB- Minnesota Vikings Interesting. Could be the Nate Burelson from a year ago or could be the Koren Robinson from a year ago. I like the O-line in Minny and Childress has stated he wants to run alot more than he did in Philly.
Projection: 252 attempts, 1103 yards, 9 Td's
37. Sanatana Moss, WR- Washington Redskins Hard to dupliacte some of the games he had last year but still a dynamic football player that gets plays called for him often.
Projection: 68 receptions, 1201 yards, 6 TD's
38. Reggie Bush, RB- New Orleans Deuce is still there but if you have that third RB/WR/TE option to start someone, it would be Bush. Any week he can bust a run for a TD and the projections for him are hard to computate.
Projections: 175 attempts, 923 yards, 10TD's 51 receptions, 455 yards, 3 TD's
39. Plaxico Burress, WR- New York Giants Deep ball ability, possession receiver skills and Eli's favorite target. Can be moody at times but numbers don't lie.
Projections: 75 receptions, 1094 yards, 7 TD's
40. Antonio Gates, TE- San Diego Chargers Game breaker at the TE position is a luxury.
Projection: 82 receptions, 911 yards, 10 TD's
41. Darrell Jackson, WR- Seattle Seahawks #1 receiver on a very good team usually lead to soild numbers. Last year's were good.
Projection: 81 receptions, 1029 yards, 5 TD's
42. Carson Palmer, QB- Cincinnati Bengals If not for the knee he would have been the third QB but who knows if he will be healthy. By week 3 though he should be fully recovered and ripping it.
Projection: 329 completions/479 attempts, 3697 yards, 27 TD's/11 INT's
43. Eli Manning, QB- New York Giants Year 3. It will only get better.
Projections: 347 completions/529 attempts, 3756 yards, 24 TD's / 14 INT's
44. Jake Delhomme, QB- Carolina Panthers Anyone throwing to Steve Smith will have good numbers. And Keyshawn will see the damn ball.
Projections: 301 completions/452 attempts, 3469 yards, 24 TD's / 10 INT's
45. Kurt Warner, QB- Arizona Cardinals Two words. Larry. Anquan.
Projections: 337 completions/521 attempts, 3826 yards, 21 TD's / 15 INT's
46. Frank Gore, RB- San Francisco 49ers Barlow is half way out the door, Gore will be the guy here and may do some damage.
Projection: 198 attempts, 912 yards, 8 TD's 26 receptions, 211 yards, 1 TD
47. Daunte Culpepper, QB- Miami Dolphins Back from injury this guy could be a huge wild card for any fantasy roster. Remember what he did in 2004.
Projection: 311 completions/501 attempts, 3559 yards, 18 TD's / 12 INT's
48. Jake Plummer, QB- Denver Broncos I don't know if he can duplicate last year but it can't hurt that he's got Javon Walker.
Projection: 289 completions/475 attempts, 3680 yards, 22 TD's / 14 INT's
49. Drew Bledsoe, QB- Dallas Cowboys Can still sling it and has got TO to go along with TG.
Projection: 336 completions/540 attempts, 3691 yards, 25 TD's / 15 INT's
50. Drew Brees, QB- New Orlean Saints San Diego is crazy. This guy is bona-fide. Shoulder is just fine.
Projection: 341 completions/501 attempts, 3429 yards, 26 TD's / 14 INT's
Few notes on some sleepers and late gimmies
Javon Walker in Denver Laurence Maroney could take Dillion's job if he stumbles. Addai in Indy I would watch Carolina/Chicago defenses always solid but don't waste a high pick on that, it's silly Favre....buyer beware. If they stink by mid-season you could see Rodgers. Chris Brown is doo-doo, stop it. Westbrook is hurt all the time and is not a full time RB. Don't bother. Ahman Green, enticing. Could Lee Evans finally break out and have a year? Easy with Trent Green too, Herm will be pounding alot more Watch Mark Clayton in Baltimore, everyone talks about Mason but he can play too Jervicious in Cleavland, don't even think about it Carolina/Chicago RB situation is still up in the air. Looks like Foster for CA and Jones for Chi. Joe Horn, helloooo!!! Jerry Porter stinks Shockey, Gonzalez, Heap, Witten, Winslow, Davis.....that is all. Watch the Braylon show down at the Dogg Pound weekly Also starring Charlie Frye.......
Enjoy!
This represents all the definitive answers to what will occur in the American Football Conference during the 2006 campaign toward Super Bowl XLI. The results are based partly on a nine category statistical analysis on a rating of 1-13 known by some as The Simool System and partly by how I, as an individual, feel the schedules will shake down. Eat it, Nostradamus, these are predictions you can bank on.
AFC NORTH: CINCINNATTI BENGALS: (12-4) [8.66]: The offense has really come into its own. While they have some defensive problems on their front seven and will probably give up a lot of points, they have the highest power offense in the AFC right now and shouldn’t have a problem. PITTSBURGH STEELERS (10-6) [9.22]: Our defending Super Bowl Champions will not be repeating this year, and their record will reflect the level of talent. Their defense will be one of the best in the league, but their short game offense will force them into a lot of close games and they won’t be able to win all of them. BALTIMORE RAVENS (7-9) [7.66]: The Ravens are going to be a much better team this year, but their record will not reflect it in the end. The RB corps is fantastic with the acquisition of Mike Anderson, Steve McNair should add some electricity to the offense, and the defense is still strong and made better with the addition of Oregon’s Haloti Ngata, but their schedule is tough. A lot of close games for them, and they’ll come on the losing end of it. CLEVELAND BROWNS (3-13) [6.33]: I’m sorry Mr. Trend, but it’s true. Cleveland is, by the Simool System, the worst team in the NFL this year. The best thing they have going for them on the field is Ruben Droughns which doesn’t say a lot (Charlie Frye, who?). Plus, having to play the above three teams six times is rough. They should be thankful they don’t have the Lions’ organization.
AFC SOUTH: INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (10-6) [10.00]: Peyton Manning is great and all, but they’ve lost some key people that make me think that the magic is over. They’ll still beat up on the weakest division in the AFC, but better opposition will cause them woes in the end. TENNESSEE TITANS (8-8) [7.77]: The Titans have a strong defense with an underrated line, they have a formidable group of RBs, but their situation at QB is pretty discouraging. If Young is put in and plays like a prodigy, they’ll do better, but Billy Volek isn’t getting anything done for anybody. HOUSTON TEXANS (7-9) [6.66]: I’m very curious to see how Gary Kubiak does with Denver’s system over the next couple of years, but they don’t have the players to succeed…maybe soon. Carr and Davis are worthy players, but need support that just isn’t there. The only reason is only so good because of the Jaguars and the Titans. JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS (6-10) [6.77]: An offense led by Byron Leftwich and Fred Taylor? Somebody catch me; I’m going to faint. What an offense. They have a good secondary, and that’s the only thing that will give them a chance for points.
AFC EAST: MIAMI DOLPHINS (12-4) [8.44]: The Dolphins is my outside pick to win it all this year. They’re underrated, and Culpepper could collapse again, but I think they’ve acquired outstanding depth and are the most improved team in the league this year. NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (11-5) [8.55]: The popular pick, no doubt, from recent successes, and I think they’ll be a very good team, but I was never one for the popular pick. What both the Pats and the Dolphins benefit from is playing the Bills and the Jets. What a couple of sad sack teams. BUFFALO BILLS (4-12) [7.77]: I think that, since the string of Super Bowl losses, the Bills are cursed for all times. Kelly Holcomb and JP Losman throwing to Josh Reed and Lee Evans?..good lord. Defensively, they could do some damage, but there are a lot of questions about health and age there. NEW YORK JETS (3-13) [6.88]: Personally, I believe that the J-E-T-S are the worst team in the NFL this season, so my heart goes out to the Cleveland Browns, but the Simool System is what it is. They’re a JV team in pro uniforms. Weak on offense, weak on defense, weak on the sidelines, weak everywhere.
AFC WEST: DENVER BRONCOS (13-3) [10.33]: I’ll grant that I’m a Broncos fan and, I suppose, will have no credibility during the next few sentences. Be that as it may, the Simool System has them as the best team and they tie for best record in the AFC coming from the toughest division in the conference. They have the second best overall defense and the best 4-3 LBs in the NFL. The only question mark for me is at quarterback; Jake Plummer makes too many mistakes and I don’t want to see Jay Cutler play a down until next year. Whether or not they win the Super Bowl, I have my biases, but I do believe they are the team best suited for the AFC Championship. KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (10-6) [9.44]: Ok, my credibility has come back. The Chiefs are scary. Herman Edwards is scary; the Jets were crazy to let him go. Larry Johnson is scary; he seems even better than Priest Holmes ever way. Defensively, they’re always seriously scary. SAN DIEGO CHARGERS (8-8) [9.22]: If only Gates, McCardell, and Tomlinson had somebody to throw to them, they’d be a hell of a lot better. One can say that Philip Rivers will be good, but I’ll believe it when I see it. They have some of the best players in football, and this is the best they will do. They won’t be able to keep up with either the Broncos or the Chiefs. OAKLAND RAIDERS (6-10) [7.00]: The Raiders have taken a lot of steps to becoming a better team"Art Shell and Aaron Brooks most namely. They aren’t there and I don’t think Al Davis has enough going on upstairs anymore to run a vacuum cleaner, let alone a pro football team. I’m not sold on the idea of bringing in old blood to ease a team’s troubles, but Davis is far superior to Norv Turner. Many key players are in place to make a good team, but the organization is shot and can’t support success.
In the end, there will be a fight for the playoffs with Kansas City and Pittsburgh, and I think the Steelers will return and send the Chiefs packing. Denver will likely make the AFC Championship if they don’t have to face the Colts, since the Broncos don’t like to let the Colts punt during playoff games. I’m guessing they’ll face the Seattle Seahawks in the Super Bowl, and it’ll be just like the old AFC West “rivalries,” and it’ll be fun to see.
Denver Broncos Schedule
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