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NFL Team Preview: Texans

The Houston Texans are entering their fifth season in the NFL and are still searching for respectability. The Texans regressed badly last season, finishing 2-14 after showing promise in 2004 (7-9). The terrible season did allow Houston to get the No. 1 pick in the draft, but it looks like the Texans didn’t get that right, either.

Houston bypassed the consensus best player available, RB Reggie Bush, and opted for DE Mario Williams. While Williams should be a good player, Bush may be the game-breaker that the Texans’ offense is missing. Now, word out of Houston is that incumbent RB Domanick Davis’ knee injury could be worse than previously thought. There are signs and symptoms pointing to degenerative arthritic (bone on bone) changes in the knee. This is the same condition that ended Terrell Davis’ career. It would be a devastating blow to Houston’s offense if Davis can’t return and would raise even more criticism over the decision to pass on Bush.

Key Additions: WRs Eric Moulds and Kevin Walter, FB Jameel Cook, DEs Anthony Weaver, N.D. Kalu and Mario Williams (rookie), TE Jeb Putzier, LBs Sam Cowart, DeMeco Ryans (rookie) and Zeke Moreno, C Mike Flanagan, RB Antowain Smith, OTs Eric Winston (rookie) and Charles Spencer.

Key Subtractions: WRs Jabar Gaffney and Corey Bradford, DBs Jason Bell and Marcus Coleman, G Milford Brown, DE Gary Walker, QB Tony Banks.

Sportsbook Odds: The over/under for Houston wins at WagerWeb is six. That might be a little optimistic for this young team. At -$155, the under is probably the safest bet on the Texans. Houston has almost no chance of winning its division or even making the playoffs. WagerWeb has Houston at +$1800 to win the AFC South, +$6000 to win the AFC championship and +$12500 to win Super Bowl XLI.

Player to Watch: QB David Carr is still the key to a potentially explosive offense. He has been sacked more than any quarterback in the league in three of the past four seasons. Carr could be in for a breakout season if the line can protect him as the Texans added some weapons through free agency to help the fifth-year starter. Veteran WR Moulds should open up the field for No. 1 receiver Andre Johnson, who caught 79 passes for 1,142 in 2004. Putzier is a pass-catching tight end, and Walter will be a solid third receiver. Walter thinks he’ll have more opportunities than he did in Cincinnati. "They might double 'Dre, they might double Eric," Walter said, "and that's going to leave me one-on-one with somebody. Whoever is going to be covering me, they're going to have their work cut out for them that day."

Outlook: The Texans added more than just players this offseason as they fired Coach Dom Capers and replaced him with Gary Kubiak, the highly sought-after former offense coordinator of the Denver Broncos. Kubiak will bring the Broncos’ offensive schemes with him to Houston, which will upgrade the offense. If Mario Williams really is as good as Houston thinks he is, he could anchor an improving defense and make the team competitive. The Texans won’t be as much of a pushover as they were last season, but don’t look for a miracle turnaround just yet.

New England Patriots $-210/10 (WagerWeb odds to win division/regular-season wins): The Pats look to get back to where they are used to being: playing in the Super Bowl. And whenever you have Tom Brady under center and Bill Belichick on the sideline, your chances are better than most. The skills of RB Corey Dillon will be key, and injuries that plagued the team last year will need to be avoided, but the Pats once again have the makings of a championship contender.

DTM PREDICTED WINS: 11

Miami Dolphins +$185/9 wins: Year 2 of the Nick Saban era gets off to a good start in Miami, as during the offseason the Fins addressed their QB problem by bringing in former All-Pro Daunte Culpepper and former Lions starter Joey Harrington to back him up. The defense will still be pretty good, but this team will go as far as its new QB can take it, at least for this season. RB Ronnie Brown is definitely the future of this team, and he will look to expand on his great rookie season of a year ago.

DTM PREDICTED WINS: 9

Buffalo Bills +$1100/6.5 wins: The Bills bring back 80-year-old Marv Levy to be GM and are hoping for the kind of success they had under Levy in the late '80s and early '90s. The Bills have been a shade of their former glory days selves recently. QB has been a problem for Buffalo, and this year the Bills have to decide between veteran Kelly Holcomb and unproven J.P Losman. The offense likely will struggle to score points consistently.

DTM PREDICTED WINS: 7

New York Jets +$1000/6 wins: QB Chad Pennington comes back after shoulder surgery and is one of the biggest question marks in Jets history as many feel he is either going to be the key to their success or the reason they fail. RB Curtis Martin may not play this season. The defense should be quicker and more aggressive under new head coach and Bill Belichick clone Eric Mangini.

DTM PREDICTED WINS: 7

Seattle Seahawks -$330 / 10.5wins: (
WagerWeb odds to win division / regular-season wins): The Seahawks think they can improve on last year's Super Bowl runner-up finish, but they will have a little stiffer competition within their division and from their first-place schedule. This team does have what it takes to respond to those hurdles in one of the best RBs of this era in Shaun Alexander and one of the most consistent QBs in the NFL in Matt Hasselbeck. If the defense can play consistently and force turnovers like it did last year, Seattle could be headed to Miami in February.

DTM Predicted Wins: 11

Arizona Cardinals +$350 / 8 wins: The Cards got a steal in getting QB Matt Leinart No. 10 overall in this year's NFL Draft, and now that he is signed they can start looking to the future. Leinart might not be the man this year, but the downtrodden Cardinals organization might finally have some hope to go along with a beautiful new stadium. This will be a pivotal year for Coach Dennis Green and the Cards, and the addition of RB Edgerrin James from the Colts is the biggest free-agent signing ever for this team. Look for this talented offense to score points in bunches and create some excitement in the Valley of the Sun for the first time in a while.

DTM Predicted Wins: 7

St. Louis Rams +$550/7 wins: New coach Scott Linehan already is ahead of the game compared to last year because the owner of the franchise actually likes him, which believe it or not goes a long way in today's NFL. Gone is "Mad Scientist" Mike Martz, who, to be blunt, was despised by ownership at the end. Linehan will bring a discipline and focus the Rams have lacked in recent years, and even without star RB Marshall Faulk, the Rams' running game won't skip a beat with the emergence of Steven Jackson. The big issue is the defense, which has several holes and not very much depth. This will be a year of feeling out the new coaching staff and new system.

DTM Predicted Wins: 7

San Francisco 49ers +$5000/5 wins: Is Alex Smith the future of this franchise? We will most likely find out the answer to that question by midseason. Granted, Smith has very high expectations for a kid in his second NFL season, but when you are the No. 1 overall pick and play for a once-proud franchise that has been a shade of its former self in recent years, patience is not as much of a virtue as it should be. Smith will have more weapons this year, including monstrous TE Vernon Davis, and the defense should be improved. Nonetheless, Mike Nolan and the coaching staff have their work cut out for them as the Niners are still are a few years from being a contending team.

DTM Predicted Wins: 6

NFL Team Preview: Chargers

By WagerWeb Contributing Writer

The San Diego Chargers had the most talent of any non-playoff team last season. Their frustrating season was marked by inconsistency. A demoralizing loss to Miami at home in Week 14 and back-to-back losses to division rivals Kansas City and Denver sealed San Diego’s fate a year ago. Now, the Chargers look to rebound with a new quarterback at the helm and a suspect defense.

The biggest decision San Diego made this offseason was to let Pro Bowl QB Drew Brees go to New Orleans as a free agent. That leaves third-year pro Philip Rivers in charge of the offense. Rivers has thrown a total of 30 NFL passes in two seasons, completing 17 of them. Despite his lack of experience, Rivers has been groomed for this job, and he and his teammates are confident the potent San Diego offense won’t miss a beat with the former North Carolina State star directing it.

"He's been throwing strikes all camp," RB LaDainian Tomlinson said. "Not only has he been throwing hard, but he's been accurate and making perfect reads. He feels defenses very well." WR Keenan McCardell has also noticed Rivers’ passing prowess. "He's very accurate. He shocked me with how accurate he is."

Key Additions: DB Marlon McCree, TE Aaron Shea, CB Antonio Cromartie (rookie), OT Marcus McNeill (rookie), QB Charlie Whitehurst.

Key Subtractions: LBs Donnie Edwards and Ben Leber, QB Brees, WR Reche Caldwell, TE Justin Peelle, C Bob Hallen.

Sportsbook Odds: The Chargers have a much easier schedule than last season. As long as Rivers keeps performing well, San Diego will be in the playoff hunt and has a good shot of winning the AFC West. WagerWeb has San Diego as $+250 to win the AFC West, +$1000 to win the AFC championship and XXX to win Super Bowl XLI.

Player to Watch: Rivers has plenty of weapons around him to be a successful NFL quarterback. Tomlinson is arguably the best running back in the league. Antonio Gates is the unquestioned best tight end in the league. McCardell is a great possession receiver, and Eric Parker, Vincent Jackson and Kassim Osgood will round out a decent receiving corps. If the Chargers’ solid offensive line can give Rivers some time and LT continues to tear it up on the ground, San Diego will be better than last season.

Outlook: Rivers should be able to get off to a good start and gain more confidence as San Diego opens the season against two of the worst defenses in the league, Oakland and Tennessee. The Chargers' offense won’t be the problem, however. Their defense, which ranked 30th against the pass last season, hasn’t improved much. If Cromartie can shake off the injury-prone tag he acquired in college, and Quentin Jammer continues to improve, San Diego should be able to outscore most of its opponents and get back to the playoffs.

The Houston Texans are entering their fifth season in the NFL and are still searching for respectability. The Texans regressed badly last season, finishing 2-14 after showing promise in 2004 (7-9). The terrible season did allow Houston to get the No. 1 pick in the draft, but it looks like the Texans didn’t get that right, either.

Houston bypassed the consensus best player available, RB Reggie Bush, and opted for DE Mario Williams. While Williams should be a good player, Bush may be the game-breaker that the Texans’ offense is missing. Now, word out of Houston is that incumbent RB Domanick Davis’ knee injury could be worse than previously thought. There are signs and symptoms pointing to degenerative arthritic (bone on bone) changes in the knee. This is the same condition that ended Terrell Davis’ career. It would be a devastating blow to Houston’s offense if Davis can’t return and would raise even more criticism over the decision to pass on Bush.

Key Additions: WRs Eric Moulds and Kevin Walter, FB Jameel Cook, DEs Anthony Weaver, N.D. Kalu and Mario Williams (rookie), TE Jeb Putzier, LBs Sam Cowart, DeMeco Ryans (rookie) and Zeke Moreno, C Mike Flanagan, RB Antowain Smith, OTs Eric Winston (rookie) and Charles Spencer.

Key Subtractions: WRs Jabar Gaffney and Corey Bradford, DBs Jason Bell and Marcus Coleman, G Milford Brown, DE Gary Walker, QB Tony Banks.

Sportsbook Odds: The over/under for Houston wins at WagerWeb is six. That might be a little optimistic for this young team. At -$155, the under is probably the safest bet on the Texans. Houston has almost no chance of winning its division or even making the playoffs. WagerWeb has Houston at +$1800 to win the AFC South, +$6000 to win the AFC championship and +$12500 to win Super Bowl XLI.

Player to Watch: QB David Carr is still the key to a potentially explosive offense. He has been sacked more than any quarterback in the league in three of the past four seasons. Carr could be in for a breakout season if the line can protect him as the Texans added some weapons through free agency to help the fifth-year starter. Veteran WR Moulds should open up the field for No. 1 receiver Andre Johnson, who caught 79 passes for 1,142 in 2004. Putzier is a pass-catching tight end, and Walter will be a solid third receiver. Walter thinks he’ll have more opportunities than he did in Cincinnati. "They might double 'Dre, they might double Eric," Walter said, "and that's going to leave me one-on-one with somebody. Whoever is going to be covering me, they're going to have their work cut out for them that day."

Outlook: The Texans added more than just players this offseason as they fired Coach Dom Capers and replaced him with Gary Kubiak, the highly sought-after former offense coordinator of the Denver Broncos. Kubiak will bring the Broncos’ offensive schemes with him to Houston, which will upgrade the offense. If Mario Williams really is as good as Houston thinks he is, he could anchor an improving defense and make the team competitive. The Texans won’t be as much of a pushover as they were last season, but don’t look for a miracle turnaround just yet.

New England Patriots $-210/10 (WagerWeb odds to win division/regular-season wins): The Pats look to get back to where they are used to being: playing in the Super Bowl. And whenever you have Tom Brady under center and Bill Belichick on the sideline, your chances are better than most. The skills of RB Corey Dillon will be key, and injuries that plagued the team last year will need to be avoided, but the Pats once again have the makings of a championship contender.

DTM PREDICTED WINS: 11

Miami Dolphins +$185/9 wins: Year 2 of the Nick Saban era gets off to a good start in Miami, as during the offseason the Fins addressed their QB problem by bringing in former All-Pro Daunte Culpepper and former Lions starter Joey Harrington to back him up. The defense will still be pretty good, but this team will go as far as its new QB can take it, at least for this season. RB Ronnie Brown is definitely the future of this team, and he will look to expand on his great rookie season of a year ago.

DTM PREDICTED WINS: 9

Buffalo Bills +$1100/6.5 wins: The Bills bring back 80-year-old Marv Levy to be GM and are hoping for the kind of success they had under Levy in the late '80s and early '90s. The Bills have been a shade of their former glory days selves recently. QB has been a problem for Buffalo, and this year the Bills have to decide between veteran Kelly Holcomb and unproven J.P Losman. The offense likely will struggle to score points consistently.

DTM PREDICTED WINS: 7

New York Jets +$1000/6 wins: QB Chad Pennington comes back after shoulder surgery and is one of the biggest question marks in Jets history as many feel he is either going to be the key to their success or the reason they fail. RB Curtis Martin may not play this season. The defense should be quicker and more aggressive under new head coach and Bill Belichick clone Eric Mangini.

DTM PREDICTED WINS: 7

Seattle Seahawks -$330 / 10.5wins: (
WagerWeb odds to win division / regular-season wins): The Seahawks think they can improve on last year's Super Bowl runner-up finish, but they will have a little stiffer competition within their division and from their first-place schedule. This team does have what it takes to respond to those hurdles in one of the best RBs of this era in Shaun Alexander and one of the most consistent QBs in the NFL in Matt Hasselbeck. If the defense can play consistently and force turnovers like it did last year, Seattle could be headed to Miami in February.

DTM Predicted Wins: 11

Arizona Cardinals +$350 / 8 wins: The Cards got a steal in getting QB Matt Leinart No. 10 overall in this year's NFL Draft, and now that he is signed they can start looking to the future. Leinart might not be the man this year, but the downtrodden Cardinals organization might finally have some hope to go along with a beautiful new stadium. This will be a pivotal year for Coach Dennis Green and the Cards, and the addition of RB Edgerrin James from the Colts is the biggest free-agent signing ever for this team. Look for this talented offense to score points in bunches and create some excitement in the Valley of the Sun for the first time in a while.

DTM Predicted Wins: 7

St. Louis Rams +$550/7 wins: New coach Scott Linehan already is ahead of the game compared to last year because the owner of the franchise actually likes him, which believe it or not goes a long way in today's NFL. Gone is "Mad Scientist" Mike Martz, who, to be blunt, was despised by ownership at the end. Linehan will bring a discipline and focus the Rams have lacked in recent years, and even without star RB Marshall Faulk, the Rams' running game won't skip a beat with the emergence of Steven Jackson. The big issue is the defense, which has several holes and not very much depth. This will be a year of feeling out the new coaching staff and new system.

DTM Predicted Wins: 7

San Francisco 49ers +$5000/5 wins: Is Alex Smith the future of this franchise? We will most likely find out the answer to that question by midseason. Granted, Smith has very high expectations for a kid in his second NFL season, but when you are the No. 1 overall pick and play for a once-proud franchise that has been a shade of its former self in recent years, patience is not as much of a virtue as it should be. Smith will have more weapons this year, including monstrous TE Vernon Davis, and the defense should be improved. Nonetheless, Mike Nolan and the coaching staff have their work cut out for them as the Niners are still are a few years from being a contending team.

DTM Predicted Wins: 6

NFL Team Preview: Chargers

By WagerWeb Contributing Writer

The San Diego Chargers had the most talent of any non-playoff team last season. Their frustrating season was marked by inconsistency. A demoralizing loss to Miami at home in Week 14 and back-to-back losses to division rivals Kansas City and Denver sealed San Diego’s fate a year ago. Now, the Chargers look to rebound with a new quarterback at the helm and a suspect defense.

The biggest decision San Diego made this offseason was to let Pro Bowl QB Drew Brees go to New Orleans as a free agent. That leaves third-year pro Philip Rivers in charge of the offense. Rivers has thrown a total of 30 NFL passes in two seasons, completing 17 of them. Despite his lack of experience, Rivers has been groomed for this job, and he and his teammates are confident the potent San Diego offense won’t miss a beat with the former North Carolina State star directing it.

"He's been throwing strikes all camp," RB LaDainian Tomlinson said. "Not only has he been throwing hard, but he's been accurate and making perfect reads. He feels defenses very well." WR Keenan McCardell has also noticed Rivers’ passing prowess. "He's very accurate. He shocked me with how accurate he is."

Key Additions: DB Marlon McCree, TE Aaron Shea, CB Antonio Cromartie (rookie), OT Marcus McNeill (rookie), QB Charlie Whitehurst.

Key Subtractions: LBs Donnie Edwards and Ben Leber, QB Brees, WR Reche Caldwell, TE Justin Peelle, C Bob Hallen.

Sportsbook Odds: The Chargers have a much easier schedule than last season. As long as Rivers keeps performing well, San Diego will be in the playoff hunt and has a good shot of winning the AFC West. WagerWeb has San Diego as $+250 to win the AFC West, +$1000 to win the AFC championship and XXX to win Super Bowl XLI.

Player to Watch: Rivers has plenty of weapons around him to be a successful NFL quarterback. Tomlinson is arguably the best running back in the league. Antonio Gates is the unquestioned best tight end in the league. McCardell is a great possession receiver, and Eric Parker, Vincent Jackson and Kassim Osgood will round out a decent receiving corps. If the Chargers’ solid offensive line can give Rivers some time and LT continues to tear it up on the ground, San Diego will be better than last season.

Outlook: Rivers should be able to get off to a good start and gain more confidence as San Diego opens the season against two of the worst defenses in the league, Oakland and Tennessee. The Chargers' offense won’t be the problem, however. Their defense, which ranked 30th against the pass last season, hasn’t improved much. If Cromartie can shake off the injury-prone tag he acquired in college, and Quentin Jammer continues to improve, San Diego should be able to outscore most of its opponents and get back to the playoffs.