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Post National Hockey League: August 2006

Scoring WAY UP!

If this season ends how it started, it will be one that will see plenty of records broken. The scoring is way up and goalies league wide are at a lost to try to slow it down. Is it that the goalies have lost a step or is the players that much better offensively? Over the off-season, league officials decided they wanted to get scoring up and made some rules changes in an attempt to increase offense. The rules that were implemented were the decrease in goalie equipment and increased the size of the nets. So far, offense is on the rise it looks like this trend will continue.

Fans across the league are enjoying this new found scoring; however, coaching staffs and goalies are not impressed.

What is important to note is not all teams are struggling with their defensive play. Teams like Saint John, Helsinki, Los Angeles and Warsaw are three of the teams that are having success regardless of the increased offense. Saint John's goalies Henrik Lundqvist and Kevin Weekes are excelling with the changes and have the stats to prove it. Lundqvist has played in seven games and has a very impressive 2.46 GAA with a .907 save percentage. While the team's back-up Kevin Weekes has seen action is one game held the opposing offense scoreless.
John Grahame of the Storm has an impeccable 2.27 GAA with a .925 save percentage. Helsinki is also striving on the defensive zone with Roberto Luongo posting a 2.79 GAA; while their back-up Vesa Toskala has played three games with a 2.48 GAA and a .926 save percentage. While Helsinki is happy to have the Finnish goalie on their roster; the Denver Broncos, who declined to resign the veteran goalie is questioning their decision of not resigning Toskala because of their current goalie problems.

Teams who are benefiting offensively this season are Edmonton who leads the league with an amazing 5.17 goals per game. Next is Denver who is lighting up goalies 4.83 per game; however, they are also letting that many goalies in per night. Prague is right behind with 4.43 goals. If this trend continues, records will be broken. Mike Modano's 100 point season will be in jeopardy as offensive is way up. A few players have averaged 2 points per game early in the season and much more are just under the 2 points per game clip. If this continues, it is possible that at least a dozen of players could exceed Modano's point record.

Broncos gmJason

Time to break down this weekend of college football action like Lee Corso breaking down the short passing game. Before I get to the good games I would like to say that us here at Tecmo Blog aren’t perfect. I have made a mistake. In my Pac-10 previews I hyped up JR Hasty as the Pac-10 player of the year and for him to be big part of the Washington football team this year. What I failed to realize is that he was ruled academically eligible in July. I don’t know how I missed this because, believe me, I do my research on this stuff. So now I give you my previews, I hope I didn’t lose any credibility in your mind and would like to assure the reader that I don’t just make stuff up.

Warning: Previews are for entertainment purposes only and the betting lines may not be accurate.

Washington State at Auburn (-14.5):

I’m looking forward to this one, mainly because I am a Pac-10 guy and I like to see what Pac-10 schools can do against the big boys. Auburn is big time and many people think they can have a big year. This game is at Auburn, no easy task for Wazzu. Auburn’s got a solid defense and a good offense. Brandon Cox leads the offense that features senior WR Courtney Taylor and senior running back Kenny Irons. That is a solid trio. Carl "Hollywood" Stewart could be the Ronnie Brown to Kenny Iron’s Cadillac this year. As for Wazzu, well Alex Brink is gonna have to bring it and that defense is gonna have to play out of this world.

Wazzu Player to Watch: DE Mkristo Bruce- If he can create as much havoc as he is capable of in the Auburn backfield, Wazzu’s chances improve tenfold.

Auburn Player to Watch: CBs David Irons and Johanthan Wilhite- Wazzu has no proven running back and they are a Pac-10 team, so you know they are going to go to the air. If Irons and Wilhite do their job, Wazzu has no shot.

Bottom Line: I like Wazzu this year, not enough to pick them straight up in Auburn because they will not win. However I think they could cover, so take Wazzu and the points.

Notre Dame (-7.5) at Georgia Tech:

This is a tough one to call. Georgia Tech opened their year last year by beating Auburn and now they open this year at home versus Notre Dame. They are very capable of winning this game. Notre Dame, however, is Notre Dame. Georgia Tech does have WR Calvin Johnson on their side though. If you haven’t heard of him, well shame on you. 6-5, 238 he is the best receiver in the country and probably the first receiver drafted in the 2007 NFL draft. If you search him at You Tube you can see all kinds of crazy catches the guy has made.

G Tech Player to Watch: QB Reggie Ball- He can be a play maker with his arm and his legs, of course he can also throw into triple coverage and single handedly lose you a game with stupid decisions.

Notre Dame Player to Watch: QB Brady Quinn- Step one on the path to a Hiesman

Bottom Line: It’s too early in the year for Notre Dame to be knocked out of the national title race. G Tech, however, is a tough opponent. I’ll still take the Dome Heads giving the points.

USC (-8.0) at Arkansas:

We remember what happened last year, USC won 70-17. It’s different now though, because a frail, overrated Pac-10 team can’t win in a big, bad SEC stadium. If I remember correctly a USC team that was unproven went into Auburn and laid the beat down a few years ago. This team is not as good as that USC team, but Arkansas is not as good as that Auburn team. The Razorbacks, however, are a pretty solid team that could be tough to beat at home.

USC Player to Watch: QB John David Booty- Is he the next great Trojan QB?

Arkansas Player to Watch: RB Darren McFadden- He is only a sophomore, but he is pretty darn good. Could give USC fits

Bottom Line: I’ll take USC; even if their talent is young and unproven they still have a lot more than Arkansas. Giving up eight while on the road is kind of scary, but USC is the pick here.

California at Tennessee (-1.5):

So I heard a rumor that Coach Jeff Tedford was naming Josh Ayoob his starting QB this year. I couldnt believe it, this was the same guy who lost his job last year to a converted fullback. Well thankfully that was an untrue rumor and Nate Longshore will start. Although Longshore is unproven, he is better than Ayoob. Tennessee had a bad year last year but they have the talent to rebound. Part of the reason they had a bad year is that they play in the SEC.

Cal Player to Watch: RB Marshawn Lynch- The run for the Hiesman starts in Knoxville for him.

Tennessee Player to Watch: QB Erik Ainge- He followed up a superb freshman year with a bad sophomore year. Which Ainge will emerge for his junior year?

Bottom Line: I really like Cal this year, even with the loss of CB Tim Mixon to a season ending injury. So I'll take Cal and the points.

Oregon (-11.5) at Stanford-

I was listening to talk radio the other day and a guy called and said people shouldn’t overlook Stanford. He also brought up that they were the only team to beat Oregon during their magical 2001 year. Well five years ago in college football is a lifetime ago. I’d rather look to last year, when Oregon beat them by 24. Stanford does have some offensive potential, but they still lack a proven running game and have very little depth.

Oregon Player to Watch: RB Jonathon Stewart- The big man now has the big load of being Oregon’s #1 guy.

Stanford Player to Watch: RB Anthony Kimble- A converted WR leads the Stanford horrendous running game. If he can have a good year rushing the ball it will go a long way for this Cardinal team.

Bottom Line: Take Oregon, giving the points.

BYU at Arizona (-6.5)

The first game of the year for Mike Lombardi, whoops I mean Stoops. UA fans champion his recruiting classes, his family name and tell any ASU fan who will listen how much better of a coach he is than Dirk Koetter. Well he has had some recruiting success I need to see him start to win before I buy into the hype. Is it too early for a must win game for UA? Because they play LSU next week and if they lose to BYU they will be 0-2 in their first two games. In the world of Arizona high school football, Mormon’s rule all. John Beck was a stud QB at Mountain View and is now the starting QB at BYU.

BYU Player to Watch: MLB Cameron Jensen- The senior is the leader of the Cougar defense and maybe the MWC Defensive POY.

UA Player to Watch: RB Chris Henry- With last year’s runner, Mike Bell, starting for the Denver Broncos, Henry gets a chance to prove himself. UA will desperately need a consistent running game to compliment their solid defense.

Bottom Line: I think UA wins the game, but I’m taking BYU at those 6.5 points.

Florida State at Miami (-3)

I remember this game vividly last year, mainly because I remember Kyle Reed and Drew Weatherford just sucking hard for 60 straight minutes. To be fair both those guys were freshmen and they were going up against awesome defenses so I cut them some slack. Don’t say you didn’t expect this:

Miami Player to Watch: QB Kyle Reed: Big things are predicted for him at Miami, he may very well be the key to Larry Coker’s future in Miami.

FSU Player to Watch: QB Drew Weatherford- FSU has had some shitty QBs the past few years. Chris Rix, Wyatt Sexton, Adrian McPhearson (maybe he was not so bad, he is in the NFL and was Arena League rookie of the year!). Will Weatherford buck the trend?

Bottom Line: It’s a tough one to call, Ill take FSU getting 3 points. Maybe an over/under bet would be better. Take the under I don’t care what the number is.